Tag: Conflict Onset
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The Spoils of Nature: When International Oil Pricing Matters
By Olivia Haring and Casey Lopes Abstract: Existing research, particularly Lujala (2010), has established that the presence and production of hydrocarbons in a conflict zone influence both conflict duration and onset. This literature, however, fails to consider how international oil prices may condition this relationship, despite many of the causal mechanisms relying on hydrocarbons as…
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Buhaug (2006) Replication and Extension: The Addition of Foreign Aid
By Hannah Bray and Kaitlyn Andreala Abstract: Buhaug (2006) contributes both empirically and theoretically to the literature on civil war onset by disaggregating civil wars into two types based on rebel motivations determined by their capability. The puzzle Buhaug (2006) addressed relates to the mixed findings of ethnic fractionalization as a variable in the previous…
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Domestic Explanations for Autocratic Conflict Onset on Territorial Disputes
By Leonardo Gonzalez Abstract: This research explores the underlying domestic factors influencing autocratic regimes’ decisions to initiate conflict over territorial disputes. Specifically, the study investigates why some autocracies escalate territorial disputes into military conflicts while others refrain, despite similar external conditions. The central hypothesis posits that the level of threat posed by opposition groups, conceptualized…